BTC and XRP - Further downside looks more likely

FXOpen

BTC/USD 

The price of Bitcoin has been on a decline since the 10th of May when it reached a high of $59,512. From there we have seen a decrease of 29.3% so far as it fell down to $42,180 at its lowest point. It is currently retesting those low levels for support and it appears to have stabilized as it made another attempt to continue its downward trajectory but bounced off of the low levels. Now it is moving slightly to the upside and is being traded at $44,923. 

Auto Draft

Looking at the hourly chart above, we can see that this down move from the 10th is the continuation of the decrease that started from the 14th of April after the price reached a new all-time high. As it is most likely the 3rd sub-wave of the corrective ABC this could mean that the descending move has ended on the current interaction with the significant horizontal support zone. 

However, if this is the 4th wave of the cycle degree the correction might get deeper and prolonged. In this case, these first three waves could be prolonged by another two more either as the WXYXZ complex correction or in the worst-case scenario a five-wave impulse that would only be the 1st sub-wave of the higher degree ABC. 

We are shortly going to see from the expected upward move and the following pullback which scenario could be more likely but for now the primary one is that the downfall could have ended as the ABC move. 

XRP/USD

From yesterday’s low at $1.321 the price of Ripple has increased by 22% as it came up to $1.612 where its currently being traded and is still moving in an upward trajectory.

(no title)

This is the continuation of the upward movement that started on the 14th when the price of Ripple $1.23 which was another retest of the descending support level from the triangle in which it was from the 6th. It is still uncertain whether or not this breakout was the start of the next impulsive move to the upside and the completion of the 2nd wave of the higher degree count or is another corrective increase before further downside.

We have seen interaction with the 0.618 Fib level on the 14th where the price found support and bounced strongly. This could be the sign that the previous descending move ended but the wave structure that followed ended as a three-wave decrease which looks more like another X wave from the complex correction count. Because of this the more likely scenario would be that the price is going to make a new lower low but we have to see a clear validation.

This forecast represents FXOpen Markets Limited opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Markets Limited products and services or as financial advice. Cryptocurrency CFDs are not available to trade in all jurisdictions.

FXOpen offers the world's most popular cryptocurrency CFDs*, including Bitcoin and Ethereum. Floating spreads, 1:2 leverage — at your service. Open your trading account now or learn more about crypto CFD trading with FXOpen.

*At FXOpen UK and FXOpen AU, Cryptocurrency CFDs are only available for trading by those clients categorised as Professional clients under FCA Rules and Professional clients under ASIC Rules respectively. They are not available for trading by Retail clients.

This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Latest from Cryptocurrencies

ADA Drops to Last Place in the Top 10 Cryptocurrencies BTC/USD Analysis: Bitcoin Price Rises Ahead of Halving BTC/USD Analysis: Bearish Arguments Become More Convincing DOGE Price Increases by 170% in Less Than 2 Months Bitcoin Price Recovered over the Weekend, But Market Anxiety Remains

Latest articles

What Order Imbalance Is and How To Use It in a Trading Strategy
Trader’s Tools

What Order Imbalance Is and How To Use It in a Trading Strategy

Understanding the nuances of order imbalances is key for traders looking to navigate the ebb and flow of asset prices. Order imbalances provide a clear window into the supply and demand dynamics at play, offering strategic insights. This article delves

Commodities

XAU/USD Gold Price Reaches an Important Resistance Zone

The XAU/USD gold chart today indicates that the historical record price of the metal is above USD 2,400 per ounce.

In addition to fears of a new round of inflation due to rising commodity prices, geopolitical tensions are

What Is a Break of Structure and How Can You Trade It?
Trader’s Tools

What Is a Break of Structure and How Can You Trade It?

In the ever-evolving world of Smart Money Concept (SMC) trading, a nuanced understanding of market dynamics is indispensable. This article explores the concept of Break of Structure (BOS), how to identify it, and its implications for trading strategies, setting traders

CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 60% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.