Silver Remains Vulnerable At Historic Lows As Fed Rate Hike Looms

The price of silver inched higher on Wednesday, increasing the value of white metal to more than $13.80 an ounce. The technical bias however remains extremely bearish because of a Lower Low in the recent downside move as the precious metal hovers at historic lows.

Technical Analysis

As of this writing, the metal is being traded around $13.81. A support can be noted near $13.62, the swing low of the recent downside move ahead of $13.00, the psychological number.

On the upside, the white metal is likely to face a hurdle near $14.00, the psychological level ahead of $14.26, the 23.6% fib level and then $14.66, the 38.2% fib level. The technical bias will remain bearish as long as the $14.62 resistance area is intact.

Fed Monetary Policy

The Federal Reserve is expected to announce a hike in interest rates when its two-day policy setting meeting ends later in the day. It would be the first U.S. rate hike in nearly a decade, signaling the beginning of an end to an expansionary monetary policy that has supplied a tidal wave of liquidity to risk asset markets globally.

With a hike seen as a mostly done deal after more than a year of anticipation, investor focus is fixed on how the Fed might opt to pace its tightening cycle next year. The central bank has hinted that it intends to hike rates gradually.

Trade Idea

Considering the overall technical and fundamental outlook, buying the precious metal could be a good strategy if we get a valid bullish reversal candle such as bullish pin bar or bullish engulfing candle.

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Usman Ahmed

Usman Ahmed is an individual forex trader and market analyst. He holds a Masters of Business Administration (MBA) degree. His work includes fundamental and technical reports on various currency pairs, commodity futures and stock markets. His technical analysis features price action strategies.

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